Week 7 review
Date
Opp
Pitcher
Score
Inn
RoB
Out
Pit(cnt)
Play Description
05-17
@MIA
Kevin Slowey
a 0-5
t3
12-
2
2 (0-1)
Single to SS (Ground Ball); Ross Scores; Montero to 2B
05-17
@MIA
Ryan ...
Week 7 review
Date
Opp
Pitcher
Score
Inn
RoB
Out
Pit(cnt)
Play Description
05-17
@MIA
Kevin Slowey
a 0-5
t3
12-
2
2 (0-1)
Single to SS (Ground Ball); Ross Scores; Montero to 2B
05-17
@MIA
Ryan Webb
a 1-9
t9
--3
2
4 (1-2)
Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
05-18
@MIA
Tom Koehler
a 0-1
t2
-2-
1
2 (1-0)
Fielder's Choice SS; Ross out at 3B/SS-3B; Prado to 1B
05-20
@COL
Jon Garland
t 0-0
t2
--3
0
2 (1-0)
Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
05-21
@COL
Jhoulys Chacin
d 4-2
t7
-23
1
3 (1-1)
Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B); Ross Scores; Kubel Scores
05-21
@COL
Matt Belisle
t 4-4
t8
1-3
2
1 (0-0)
Flyball: RF
Things started brightly, Prado getting an infield hit in his very first chance last Friday, knocking in Cody Ross. However, he came up empty the rest of the series, and despite three opportunities, that was it until the second game of the series at Coors, where he had a two-run single. He had another chance later on in the same contest, but came up empty and although Prado came up three times with runners on base in the week's finale yesterday. all of them were only with a runner on first [he did advance them each time, with a trio of groundouts]. That left Martin's final tally for the week at two hits in six at-bats, on the casino line.
Nor many of you went for that. only three of the 19 competitors in this round, with the majority deciding Prado was "due" for a big week. This seems like an example (along with the standard fan optimism) of what's knows as the Gambler's Fallacy: "the belief that if deviations from expected behavior are observed in repeated independent trials of some random process, future deviations in the opposite direction are then more likely." In other words, because Prado had sucked so hard with runners in scoring position the first 40 games, that he'd be likely to perform better than average there this week. Nope. His previous numbers have absolutely no impact there.
I trust we all learned a valuable lesson from this. And so, with only those who went for "push" able to cash in their slips on the week, we get:
Winners (3): frienetic, Gildo, rd33
Sinners (16): AJV19, azcougs, blank_38, BrokeNBattleX, Craig from Az, Diamondhacks, grimmy01, GuruB, Marc Fournier, Muu, piratedan7, SenSurround, SongBird, TolkeinBard, walleye01, Xipooo
Which makes updating the standings a quick and easy process again, with only that trio picking up two points apiece for nailing it on the nose. Before we get to those, pardon me if I take a few minutes to imagine rolling around the bed in all the theoretical SnakePit dollars I won... Right, thank you for that. Onwards!
5 pointsblank_38
4 points AJV19 frieneticGildogrimmy01SenSurround
3 pointsAzRattlerCraig from AzMarc Fournierpiratedan7
2 pointsazshadowwalkereelGuruBMaizefedrd33TolkienBard
1 pointAZfan85308backtocaliBobRob12BrokeNBattleXJoelPrenavyazfanShawnwckSongbirdwalleye01
0 pointsazcougsAzDbackfanInDcazsportsfan31BattleMosesBigLeagueAZDaniel Corbin Jr.Diamondhackshotclawsimstillhungry95leemellonLiamNeesonlittleRoomMuusince_98SurksquatchXipooo
Week 8 line
It's back to Chase Field, for at least the start of this week. There's three games against the Padres, and then the Memorial Day double-header on Monday against the Rangers. We have Tuesday off, then it's to Texas we must go, for the return pair of interleague games. That's seven in total for this round, five of them at home and two on the road - the DH will be in effect for those, and it could play into the final tally, because the number you need to predict this week is, how many strikeouts our pitching staff will get. It's going to be interesting: Brandon McCarthy and Wade Miley will each get two starts. Here are some other numbers to help figure out where you stand.
Strikeouts per game: 7.7
Strikeouts per nine innings: 7.6 [includes extras, road losses where we pitch 8 innings]
Strike