I expect the next S&P 500 (SPY) trading range to be 1600-1750. We may stay in there until Mr. Bernanke's fate is known, in January 2014. This is one of those external events that have nothing to do with mathematical valuation, but is an ...
I expect the next S&P 500 (SPY) trading range to be 1600-1750. We may stay in there until Mr. Bernanke's fate is known, in January 2014. This is one of those external events that have nothing to do with mathematical valuation, but is an essential component of asset pricing: confidence in the "Grand Argentier", French for Minister of Finance, i.e. the guy with the bucks. The only pilots who can be trusted at this point are Dr. Ben Bee (Bernanke), Super Mario (Draghi) and Abe (not Lincoln, Shinzo). Actually, I continue to believe that Dr. Ben Bee, as I dubbed him in my book, should get the Nobel Prize in Economics Science. In case you missed it, Household Net Worth is now greater than its previous peak in Q3, 2007, and leverage is lower too. Compared to the trough in Q4, 2008,