Sharapova hopes to reignite a love affair from last summer.
This look ahead at the Roland Garros women’s field mirrors the format used for the men’s companion article yesterday.
The smart money:
1) Serena Williams: Looking b...
Sharapova hopes to reignite a love affair from last summer.
This look ahead at the Roland Garros women’s field mirrors the format used for the men’s companion article yesterday.
The smart money:
1) Serena Williams: Looking back at last year’s preview of WTA Roland Garros contenders, Serena held exactly this position at the head of the list. Virginie Razzano saw things differently, of course, scoring a shocking first-round upset that extended Serena’s drought without a final here to ten straight years after winning the 2002 title. So you might ask why many of us did not learn our lesson in again choosing her as the consensus favorite. One reason is that Razzanos, like Soderlings, are rare events that do not happen in consecutive years. Another is that Serena’s clay titles last season, as impressive as they were, came on green and blue clay, whereas she completed the Madrid-Rome double this year on the red dirt featured at Roland Garros. She also moved as crisply on clay as she ever has when she won the latter tournament, and the chronic injury woes behind her Australian Open exit have subsided for now.
But the main reason to dub Serena the Roland Garros favorite emerged from her dominant efforts against the two women just below her in the rankings and on this list. The world No. 1 now owns a 25-4 advantage over world No. 2 Sharapova (13-2) and world No. 3 Azarenka (12-2) after she won the Madrid final from the former and the Rome final from the latter. Outside a slight lull in both second sets, those matches served as brilliant displays of Serena’s talent rather than featuring genuinely competitive tennis. Serena’s greatest challenges may come early in the draws from the Razzanos of the WTA, players whom she overlooks before dialing up her focus in the second week.
Knocking on the door:
2) Maria Sharapova: The defending champion will arrive in Paris after a spring strikingly similar to what she produced last year. Compiling two titles and four finals since the beginning of March, Sharapova lost just one match during the clay preparatory tournaments for the second straight year. That loss came against Serena in Madrid, as it did in 2012, and the Russian has not lost to any other opponent since the Australian Open. Although she won a set in their Miami final, Sharapova likely cannot reverse this head-to-head should she face a healthy world No. 1 in Paris. But she cannot meet Serena until the final because of her No. 2 seed, and much can happen throughout the course of a fortnight.
Sharapova’s own health poses a minor concern, for a viral illness hampered her during Madrid and forced her to withdraw from Rome after two matches. Assuming that she recovers by the weekend, she should overpower any of the clay specialists whom she can meet early in the draw, for she has evolved into a much smoother, smarter shot-maker under coach Thomas Hogstedt. Fellow former champion Li Na defeated Sharapova at Roland Garros two years ago and again at this year’s Australian Open, suggesting that she represents the second-most significant obstacle for the Russian behind Serena. Sharapova has won their last two clay meetings and four of their last five overall, however. Consistently plowing deep into draws, she has not lost before the quarterfinals in ten months and reached the semifinals at all of her 2013 tournaments until she withdrew from Rome.
3) Victoria Azarenka: Unlike Sharapova, the two-time Australian Open champion has defeated Serena this year. That Doha victory in February could provide Azarenka with some belief should they meet again, as could their epic in last year’s US Open final when she came within two points of the title. More recently, Serena’s rout in Rome laid bare the vulnerability of the younger champion’s serve, constantly under threat as the veteran with the much more imposing serve extended her lead in their matches to 12-2. When she maneuvered herself into the rallies, however, Azarenka oft